Your computer will get to know all about you - Microsoft's head of research says that computers of the future will recognise you and be more intuitive than ever - Microsoft’s Kinect accessory for the Xbox gaming console sold eight million units in 60 days – in a radical new approach to gaming, it uses a camera simply to “read” a user’s movements and insert them into a video game. “You are the controller” is the slogan, and, in short, the device allows people to take up bowling, tennis and much more, simply by standing in front of their TV screens.
That, however, is only half the story: according to Craig Mundie, Microsoft’s Chief Research and Strategy Officer, the Kinect way of working offers a taste of how we will interact with computers. It is, he says, a “natural user interface” that, along with voice, will redefine the future of computers. Increasingly autonomous computers, Mundie suggests, will complete tasks that humans will think too mundane.
For once, too, this may not be the spin of a giant corporation: when Kinect launched, it was immediately seized upon not just by fans, but also by a community of computer scientists keen to hack into its inner workings and repurpose the device. That meant that 3D image capture – and of course Star Wars light sabres – were immediately demonstrated on YouTube in a way that Microsoft had never intended. Now the company says not only that hacking is acceptable, but it’s gone so far as to produce a developers’ kit for amateurs and researchers, while also working on a version for commercial organisations.
Mundie, speaking to The Daily Telegraph on the 20th anniversary of Microsoft’s research department, says that it’s his job to “look three to 20 years out from today”. He says that when Bill Gates founded the company, he’d always realised how important it was that it had a long-term view. “It helps us weather the storms,” says Mundie, “and from time to time we inject new capabilities that take the products forward by a significant leap. Sometimes one of those leaps is so new and significant that it is disruptive and opens up a new market. Kinect would be a good example of that”. Although he stops short of saying that he’s known Kinect was the future for decades, it’s a clear – and plausible – implication.
According to Mundie, however, the idea of “gesture, touch and voice” as a new, default way of controlling complicated machines is only a means to an end: “For a long time, the computer has been used as a tool. We have been trying to work out how to make it more like a helper, so that it acts with a degree of autonomy, understands you, and starts to become intuitive.”
The nearer future, however, is likely to see computers simply “complete tasks autonomously,” says Mundie. “In the same way as when you have a team of people and you ask them to do a task, and then they complete it autonomously.”
People’s meaning and intention, in fact, is the bigger challenge, rather than getting computers to help. “As an individual sometimes it is appropriate to speak, sometimes to nod your head, sometimes both at the same time. It’s situational,” says Mundie. “What we’ve been working on is how to map better what you’re thinking to what the computer understands. Traditionally that’s been by typing or clicking with a mouse but some people find that difficult.” He compares the process of learning to play a video game with learning a musical instrument, and says that the natural user interface will eliminate some of that tedious process.
To make the most of this new vision, Mundie says we’ll start to think of computers on a small, mobile scale, via laptops and PCs and then on a larger, room-size level. “People will,” he says, “interact on the walls. We are already seeing this through things like telepresence. There will be screens that people carry around with them and unroll and use them on the wall.”
That may sound implausible. In fact, however, Mundie suggests that the technology we’re using will become increasingly inconspicuous, even though “moving forward there will be more robust identity mechanisms” to protect security.
“Software’s role is to make complicated things easier,” he says. “Sometimes in the process software itself gets more complex, but it’s a balance. The bulk of humanity wants simple, then humans evolve to the next level too.”
For some, the prospect of hidden computers on every surface may not be terribly enticing. But as Mundie puts it, “Microsoft really did change the planet. And we are just getting warmed up. There is more opportunity for world changing things now than ever before.” ( telegraph.co.uk )
That, however, is only half the story: according to Craig Mundie, Microsoft’s Chief Research and Strategy Officer, the Kinect way of working offers a taste of how we will interact with computers. It is, he says, a “natural user interface” that, along with voice, will redefine the future of computers. Increasingly autonomous computers, Mundie suggests, will complete tasks that humans will think too mundane.
For once, too, this may not be the spin of a giant corporation: when Kinect launched, it was immediately seized upon not just by fans, but also by a community of computer scientists keen to hack into its inner workings and repurpose the device. That meant that 3D image capture – and of course Star Wars light sabres – were immediately demonstrated on YouTube in a way that Microsoft had never intended. Now the company says not only that hacking is acceptable, but it’s gone so far as to produce a developers’ kit for amateurs and researchers, while also working on a version for commercial organisations.
Mundie, speaking to The Daily Telegraph on the 20th anniversary of Microsoft’s research department, says that it’s his job to “look three to 20 years out from today”. He says that when Bill Gates founded the company, he’d always realised how important it was that it had a long-term view. “It helps us weather the storms,” says Mundie, “and from time to time we inject new capabilities that take the products forward by a significant leap. Sometimes one of those leaps is so new and significant that it is disruptive and opens up a new market. Kinect would be a good example of that”. Although he stops short of saying that he’s known Kinect was the future for decades, it’s a clear – and plausible – implication.
According to Mundie, however, the idea of “gesture, touch and voice” as a new, default way of controlling complicated machines is only a means to an end: “For a long time, the computer has been used as a tool. We have been trying to work out how to make it more like a helper, so that it acts with a degree of autonomy, understands you, and starts to become intuitive.”
The nearer future, however, is likely to see computers simply “complete tasks autonomously,” says Mundie. “In the same way as when you have a team of people and you ask them to do a task, and then they complete it autonomously.”
People’s meaning and intention, in fact, is the bigger challenge, rather than getting computers to help. “As an individual sometimes it is appropriate to speak, sometimes to nod your head, sometimes both at the same time. It’s situational,” says Mundie. “What we’ve been working on is how to map better what you’re thinking to what the computer understands. Traditionally that’s been by typing or clicking with a mouse but some people find that difficult.” He compares the process of learning to play a video game with learning a musical instrument, and says that the natural user interface will eliminate some of that tedious process.
To make the most of this new vision, Mundie says we’ll start to think of computers on a small, mobile scale, via laptops and PCs and then on a larger, room-size level. “People will,” he says, “interact on the walls. We are already seeing this through things like telepresence. There will be screens that people carry around with them and unroll and use them on the wall.”
That may sound implausible. In fact, however, Mundie suggests that the technology we’re using will become increasingly inconspicuous, even though “moving forward there will be more robust identity mechanisms” to protect security.
“Software’s role is to make complicated things easier,” he says. “Sometimes in the process software itself gets more complex, but it’s a balance. The bulk of humanity wants simple, then humans evolve to the next level too.”
For some, the prospect of hidden computers on every surface may not be terribly enticing. But as Mundie puts it, “Microsoft really did change the planet. And we are just getting warmed up. There is more opportunity for world changing things now than ever before.” ( telegraph.co.uk )
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